Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 19.240426 22.217612 25.433091 29.155425 33.336818 37.879669 43.179296
2025-10-05 15.074048 19.413090 24.536670 30.988832 38.848909 48.062339 59.623998
2025-10-12 12.556521 17.615143 24.014604 32.601796 43.706547 57.455224 75.619684
2025-10-19 10.400364 15.715680 22.849427 32.947327 46.665990 64.422378 88.868052
2025-10-26 8.757080 14.148554 21.775882 33.089958 49.128943 70.687610 101.412413
2025-11-02 7.331478 12.620106 20.480452 32.655071 50.595335 75.542174 112.205961
2025-11-09 6.163385 11.272576 19.229707 32.061946 51.658646 79.765378 122.236215
2025-11-16 5.193171 10.074079 18.025248 31.348616 52.387999 83.442881 131.582108
2025-11-23 4.297061 8.847926 16.603416 30.101303 52.126197 85.552901 138.655829
2025-11-30 3.939080 8.516122 16.606554 31.121808 55.430062 93.137672 154.199106
2025-12-07 3.631583 8.227362 16.638444 32.167285 58.811550 100.989051 170.503866
2025-12-14 3.128156 7.475648 15.751870 31.529815 59.340537 104.358702 180.002053
2025-12-21 2.620644 6.658047 14.695153 30.578528 59.424935 107.281925 189.411479
2025-12-28 2.504765 6.664010 15.224550 32.598030 64.848906 119.318206 214.231508
2026-01-04 2.361835 6.584480 15.572019 34.301583 69.830393 130.898051 238.906675
2026-01-11 2.108806 6.200868 15.246992 34.665742 72.397472 138.518604 257.392480
2026-01-18 1.870853 5.805749 14.841124 34.815280 74.553670 145.519344 275.144131
2026-01-25 1.619938 5.324277 14.178092 34.361038 75.508881 150.433148 289.528621
2026-02-01 1.393191 4.856311 13.476618 33.741350 76.072135 154.642192 302.848532
2026-02-08 1.191022 4.409370 12.757048 32.995965 76.306582 158.231340 315.202558
2026-02-15 0.989014 3.910999 11.835166 31.692344 75.288695 159.413956 323.264340
2026-02-22 0.926204 3.831694 11.952599 32.758943 79.225323 170.079687 348.957534
2026-03-01 0.869322 3.759268 12.077654 33.851417 83.281789 181.158423 375.854318